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Industrials & Defense Thematic basket

Space Economy

Orbit as an industrial buildout: launch costs down an order of magnitude, broadband and direct-to-device constellations, Earth observation, lunar programs, and a defense budget pivoting toward resilient space architectures and missile defense. No S&P 500 pure play exists, so the S&P leg is primes with major space segments — diluted by design; the pure plays across launch, constellations and in-space infrastructure live in the FW 3000 version. High-beta and long-duration: the basket is a read on risk appetite for the theme as much as on the theme itself.

22 stocks · FW 3000 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-16 · close
1 day-1.9%basket return
20 days-11.7%basket return
20 days vs FW 3000-11.3%relative return
Year to date+6.8%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-16.6%-6.3%+4.0%+14.3%+24.6%2026-07-232026-10-16
Space EconomyFW 3000

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket-1.9%-6.8%-11.7%-12.9%-9.2%+6.8%+2.7%
vs FW 3000-0.7%-4.7%-11.3%-15.2%-9.1%-4.3%-9.7%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.30Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio0.46Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility49.6%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-16 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 22 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
LMTLockheed Martin CorporationSpace segment prime: Orion, GPS III, missile-warning birds and the other half of ULA+3.7%+8.3%+3.5%+16.2%2026-07-21
TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporatedSpace-qualified imaging and detectors (Teledyne e2v — Webb's sensors) for EO and science payloads-0.2%+0.8%+2.5%+21.1%2026-07-21
LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.Aerojet Rocketdyne propulsion (RL10, RS-25) plus responsive-space payloads+3.3%+4.9%+0.5%-14.3%2026-07-21
RTXRTX CorporationMissile-warning and space sensor payloads; Blue Canyon smallsats — the diluted sensor leg+3.7%+4.3%-0.0%+6.9%2026-07-21
GSATGlobalstar, Inc.Apple-funded satellite services plus terrestrial spectrum (Globalstar)-0.7%-1.7%-0.6%+35.0%2026-07-21
NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationSpace Systems: satellites, solid boosters, Cygnus resupply and classified constellations+4.0%+8.1%-1.4%-7.7%2026-07-21
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.NASA services prime plus Dynetics space and hypersonics hardware+0.7%+2.6%-2.2%-30.2%2026-07-21
KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.Payload fairings, separation systems and propulsion components across launch and missile programs (Karman)+2.3%+6.4%-3.0%-52.6%2026-07-21
BAThe Boeing CompanyDefense & space prime: satellites, Starliner, SLS core stage and half of ULA+0.8%-0.1%-4.0%-12.4%2026-07-21
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.L-band incumbent: 66-satellite constellation with a government-services annuity (Iridium)-2.7%-7.8%-6.4%+155.0%2026-07-21
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.OpenSpace satellite ground software plus hypersonic test vehicles (Kratos)-0.8%-4.6%-14.8%-46.8%2026-07-21
PLPlanet Labs PBCDaily-revisit Earth-observation constellation turning imagery into a data subscription (Planet Labs)-6.7%-21.1%-17.4%-31.2%2026-07-21
SATSHughes satellite broadband fleet plus the spectrum trove (EchoStar)-3.9%-17.5%-18.9%-8.1%2026-07-21
BKSYBlackSky Technology Inc.High-revisit geospatial intelligence for defense and intel customers (BlackSky)-6.1%-17.2%-20.1%-7.6%2026-07-21
FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.Alpha launch and Blue Ghost lunar landers — the first fully successful commercial Moon landing (Firefly)-6.1%-16.2%-20.1%-25.1%2026-07-21
RKLBRocket Lab USA, Inc.Electron/Neutron launch plus vertically integrated satellites — the listed pure-play prime (Rocket Lab)-8.0%-25.5%-21.3%-27.1%2026-07-21
SPIRSpire Global, Inc.RF-sensing smallsats: weather, maritime and aviation data (Spire Global)-3.8%-12.9%-21.5%+19.3%2026-07-21
RDWRedwire CorpIn-space infrastructure: solar arrays, RPO and national-security space components (Redwire)-5.8%-12.4%-21.9%+10.4%2026-07-21
LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.CLPS lunar landers and NASA near-space network services (Intuitive Machines)-6.8%-18.3%-22.6%-33.6%2026-07-21
VSATViasat, Inc.GEO broadband and defense satcom (Viasat–Inmarsat)-4.3%-18.3%-23.0%+70.7%2026-07-21
VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.Starlab commercial-station developer plus defense space tech (Voyager)-5.3%-7.0%-29.3%-3.0%2026-07-21
ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.Direct-to-device broadband constellation with carrier partners (AST SpaceMobile)-8.5%-20.2%-30.5%-44.0%2026-07-21

No longer in the selected universe; awaiting membership review: SATS.

Partial price histories: FLY from 2025-08-07, KRMN from 2025-02-13, LUNR from 2021-11-17, PL from 2021-04-26, RDW from 2021-01-14, RKLB from 2020-11-24, SATS from 2018-12-03, SPIR from 2020-11-04, VOYG from 2025-06-11.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-07-21. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against UFO. Daily return correlation: 0.83 across 1707 sessions. the listed pure-play space fund; global constituents (Eutelsat, MDA, iQPS) vs our US-only universes, and none of our prime-segment exposure

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • create

    Initial composition: 22 names. S&P 500 leg is primes with major space segments (BA, LMT, NOC, LHX, RTX, TDY, LDOS) — diluted by design, since no S&P 500 pure play exists. FW 3000 leg is the pure plays: launch (RKLB, FLY), constellations and satcom (ASTS, IRDM, GSAT, VSAT, SATS), Earth observation (PL, BKSY, SPIR), lunar and in-space infrastructure (LUNR, RDW, VOYG), components (KRMN) and ground software (KTOS). Reference pinned to UFO. Considered and excluded: AMZN (Kuiper is a top-3 constellation buildout but immaterial to the equity), GD (ground segment only), MOG-A (space is a minority of a mostly-aircraft business), HWM and GE (engines, not space), SPCE (below the FW 3000 cap cutoff), DXYZ (closed-end fund wrapper on private SpaceX shares, not an operating company). SpaceX, Blue Origin and Sierra Space are private — the theme's biggest actors are unlisted, which is exactly why the listed pure plays carry scarcity premiums.

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