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Industrials & Defense Thematic basket

Space Economy

Orbit as an industrial buildout: launch costs down an order of magnitude, broadband and direct-to-device constellations, Earth observation, lunar programs, and a defense budget pivoting toward resilient space architectures and missile defense. No S&P 500 pure play exists, so the S&P leg is primes with major space segments — diluted by design; the pure plays across launch, constellations and in-space infrastructure live in the FW 3000 version. High-beta and long-duration: the basket is a read on risk appetite for the theme as much as on the theme itself.

7 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-16 · close
1 day+2.3%basket return
20 days-0.1%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500-0.3%relative return
Year to date-2.2%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-11.9%-6.1%-0.3%+5.6%+11.4%2026-07-232026-10-16
Space EconomyS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+2.3%+4.1%-0.1%-3.9%+4.6%-2.2%-2.3%
vs S&P 500+3.4%+6.1%-0.3%-7.4%+4.3%-13.0%-15.4%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio-0.02Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio-0.03Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility20.0%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-16 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 7 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
LMTLockheed MartinSpace segment prime: Orion, GPS III, missile-warning birds and the other half of ULA+3.7%+8.3%+3.5%+16.2%2026-07-21
TDYTeledyne TechnologiesSpace-qualified imaging and detectors (Teledyne e2v — Webb's sensors) for EO and science payloads-0.2%+0.8%+2.5%+21.1%2026-07-21
LHXAerojet Rocketdyne propulsion (RL10, RS-25) plus responsive-space payloads+3.3%+4.9%+0.5%-14.3%2026-07-21
RTXRTX CorporationMissile-warning and space sensor payloads; Blue Canyon smallsats — the diluted sensor leg+3.7%+4.3%-0.0%+6.9%2026-07-21
NOCSpace Systems: satellites, solid boosters, Cygnus resupply and classified constellations+4.0%+8.1%-1.4%-7.7%2026-07-21
LDOSLeidosNASA services prime plus Dynetics space and hypersonics hardware+0.7%+2.6%-2.2%-30.2%2026-07-21
BABoeingDefense & space prime: satellites, Starliner, SLS core stage and half of ULA+0.8%-0.1%-4.0%-12.4%2026-07-21

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-07-21. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against UFO. Daily return correlation: 0.61 across 1707 sessions. the listed pure-play space fund; global constituents (Eutelsat, MDA, iQPS) vs our US-only universes, and none of our prime-segment exposure

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • create

    Initial composition: 22 names. S&P 500 leg is primes with major space segments (BA, LMT, NOC, LHX, RTX, TDY, LDOS) — diluted by design, since no S&P 500 pure play exists. FW 3000 leg is the pure plays: launch (RKLB, FLY), constellations and satcom (ASTS, IRDM, GSAT, VSAT, SATS), Earth observation (PL, BKSY, SPIR), lunar and in-space infrastructure (LUNR, RDW, VOYG), components (KRMN) and ground software (KTOS). Reference pinned to UFO. Considered and excluded: AMZN (Kuiper is a top-3 constellation buildout but immaterial to the equity), GD (ground segment only), MOG-A (space is a minority of a mostly-aircraft business), HWM and GE (engines, not space), SPCE (below the FW 3000 cap cutoff), DXYZ (closed-end fund wrapper on private SpaceX shares, not an operating company). SpaceX, Blue Origin and Sierra Space are private — the theme's biggest actors are unlisted, which is exactly why the listed pure plays carry scarcity premiums.

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