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Industrials & Defense Thematic basket

Reshoring & Industrial Capex

Factories coming home: automation, electrical content, construction equipment and rental, distribution, heavy-side materials, and the domestic steel that feeds it. The fiscal-industrial policy trade — IRA, CHIPS, and tariff walls in one basket.

24 stocks · FW 3000 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+1.2%basket return
20 days+0.5%basket return
20 days vs FW 3000-0.0%relative return
Year to date+16.3%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-8.4%-4.8%-1.1%+2.6%+6.2%2026-07-282026-10-21
Reshoring & Industrial CapexFW 3000

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+1.2%+1.2%+0.5%-5.0%+2.2%+16.3%+19.7%
vs FW 3000+0.5%+0.5%-0.0%-8.5%+0.7%+2.7%+4.3%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.91Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio1.35Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility22.4%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 24 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
VMCVulcan Materials CompanyAggregates — heavy-side construction+1.0%+9.4%+8.3%-6.7%2026-06-11
NUENucor CorporationDomestic steel, tariff-protected+1.2%+2.9%+7.4%+63.5%2026-06-11
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.MRO distribution+1.2%+1.6%+6.4%+34.8%2026-06-11
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.Steel + fabrication backlog+1.5%+2.1%+6.1%+47.5%2026-06-11
DOVDover CorporationFlow control and industrial components+1.4%+3.4%+5.7%+3.1%2026-06-11
EMREmerson Electric Co.Process automation+1.6%+1.3%+5.5%+24.3%2026-06-11
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.Aggregates for plant and infrastructure construction+0.3%+8.0%+3.8%-17.9%2026-06-11
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.Compressors and industrial air — factory equipment+0.6%+1.4%+3.7%-0.1%2026-06-11
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.Equipment rental: capex without ownership+2.4%+3.3%+3.6%+32.9%2026-06-11
FASTFastenal CompanyIndustrial distribution daily read+1.6%+0.9%+2.9%+33.0%2026-06-11
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.Short-cycle industrial breadth — capex bellwether+0.7%+2.7%+1.9%+14.5%2026-06-11
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.Industrial distribution (Applied Industrial)+2.4%+1.2%+1.6%+32.6%2026-06-11
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.Factory automation pure play+2.5%+3.6%+1.3%+13.8%2026-06-11
HONHoneywell International Inc.Industrial software + automation+0.7%+3.4%+1.0%+6.4%2026-06-11
CRHCRH plcCement and materials — US infrastructure mix+1.0%+8.6%+0.9%-30.3%2026-06-11
ATKRAtkore Inc.Electrical conduit (Atkore)+0.0%+0.1%+0.7%+52.1%2026-06-11
CMCCommercial Metals CompanyRebar — construction steel (Commercial Metals)-0.6%-1.6%-0.6%-6.4%2026-06-11
PHParker-Hannifin CorporationMotion/flow control breadth+1.4%+0.2%-1.3%+9.7%2026-06-11
PRIMPrimoris Services CorporationEnergy and utility construction (Primoris)+0.7%-6.9%-1.9%-41.3%2026-06-11
GVAGranite Construction IncorporatedCivil infrastructure construction (Granite)+0.2%+1.9%-2.5%-4.6%2026-06-11
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.Copper pipe and fittings (Mueller)+1.3%-5.3%-4.6%+1.1%2026-06-11
CATCaterpillar Inc.Construction equipment demand+2.1%-1.2%-8.8%+29.7%2026-06-11
ETNEaton CorporationElectrical content of new plants+3.1%-3.6%-10.2%+24.7%2026-06-11
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.Data-center and infrastructure sites (Sterling)+0.2%-8.9%-19.3%+34.8%2026-06-11

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against XLI. Daily return correlation: 0.93 across 1710 sessions. broad-sector proxy — no listed reshoring pure-play fund tracks the S&P universe

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added AIT, MLI, ATKR, STRL, PRIM, CMC, GVA — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: added machinery breadth (ITW, DOV, IR), electrical content (ETN), and the materials leg (MLM, VMC, CRH). Reference pinned to XLI as a broad-sector proxy. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • create

    Initial composition: automation, equipment, distribution, steel.

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