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Industrials & Defense Thematic basket

Reshoring & Industrial Capex

Factories coming home: automation, electrical content, construction equipment and rental, distribution, heavy-side materials, and the domestic steel that feeds it. The fiscal-industrial policy trade — IRA, CHIPS, and tariff walls in one basket.

24 stocks · FW 3000 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-16 · close
1 day-0.1%basket return
20 days+0.4%basket return
20 days vs FW 3000+0.9%relative return
Year to date+15.0%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-7.4%-3.9%-0.4%+3.1%+6.6%2026-07-232026-10-16
Reshoring & Industrial CapexFW 3000

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket-0.1%-1.2%+0.4%-5.1%+0.9%+15.0%+18.5%
vs FW 3000+1.1%+1.1%+0.9%-7.6%+1.1%+3.0%+4.1%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.87Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio1.28Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility22.4%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-16 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 24 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.Compressors and industrial air — factory equipment-0.1%-1.2%+8.3%-1.8%2026-06-11
EMREmerson Electric Co.Process automation-0.4%-0.2%+7.7%+23.0%2026-06-11
VMCVulcan Materials CompanyAggregates — heavy-side construction+2.1%+5.3%+7.0%-9.2%2026-06-11
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.MRO distribution-0.0%+3.2%+5.1%+32.6%2026-06-11
DOVDover CorporationFlow control and industrial components+0.9%+3.7%+4.5%+1.0%2026-06-11
FASTFastenal CompanyIndustrial distribution daily read+1.3%+0.5%+4.1%+29.2%2026-06-11
NUENucor CorporationDomestic steel, tariff-protected+0.6%+2.4%+3.4%+58.4%2026-06-11
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.Industrial distribution (Applied Industrial)-1.0%-1.5%+2.7%+29.3%2026-06-11
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.Factory automation pure play+1.0%-1.5%+2.6%+10.6%2026-06-11
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.Steel + fabrication backlog-0.1%+0.9%+2.5%+43.1%2026-06-11
HONHoneywell International Inc.Industrial software + automation+0.4%+1.8%+2.4%+4.7%2026-06-11
PHParker-Hannifin CorporationMotion/flow control breadth+0.2%+0.1%+2.1%+10.3%2026-06-11
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.Aggregates for plant and infrastructure construction+2.0%+4.7%+2.1%-19.2%2026-06-11
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.Short-cycle industrial breadth — capex bellwether+0.4%+3.1%+1.7%+12.6%2026-06-11
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.Equipment rental: capex without ownership-1.7%-2.5%+1.5%+28.0%2026-06-11
CMCCommercial Metals CompanyRebar — construction steel (Commercial Metals)-0.6%+1.7%+0.7%-5.3%2026-06-11
ATKRAtkore Inc.Electrical conduit (Atkore)+0.0%+0.1%+0.7%+52.1%2026-06-11
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.Copper pipe and fittings (Mueller)-0.9%-1.1%+0.0%+5.6%2026-06-11
CRHCRH plcCement and materials — US infrastructure mix+1.6%+2.6%-2.9%-32.2%2026-06-11
PRIMPrimoris Services CorporationEnergy and utility construction (Primoris)-0.7%-12.4%-5.0%-40.9%2026-06-11
GVAGranite Construction IncorporatedCivil infrastructure construction (Granite)+0.8%-2.5%-5.3%-4.6%2026-06-11
ETNEaton CorporationElectrical content of new plants-2.8%-8.9%-7.9%+23.9%2026-06-11
CATCaterpillar Inc.Construction equipment demand-0.7%-8.7%-9.7%+28.3%2026-06-11
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.Data-center and infrastructure sites (Sterling)-4.9%-17.3%-18.2%+38.6%2026-06-11

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against XLI. Daily return correlation: 0.93 across 1707 sessions. broad-sector proxy — no listed reshoring pure-play fund tracks the S&P universe

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added AIT, MLI, ATKR, STRL, PRIM, CMC, GVA — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: added machinery breadth (ITW, DOV, IR), electrical content (ETN), and the materials leg (MLM, VMC, CRH). Reference pinned to XLI as a broad-sector proxy. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • create

    Initial composition: automation, equipment, distribution, steel.

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