Retail
The S&P 500 retail complex across formats: big-box scale, off-price treasure hunt, dollar stores, grocery and convenience, home improvement, auto, marketplaces, and e-commerce. Tracks the health and the shape of the US consumer wallet.
Performance
Follow the theme against the wider market.
Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.
| Return | 1 day | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days | MTD | YTD | 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basket | +0.3% | +0.7% | -2.9% | +5.6% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +4.3% |
| vs FW 3000 | +0.6% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -0.7% | +0.4% | -7.4% | -12.4% |
Inside the basket · 29 stocks
Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual stocks.
| Why it’s included | Added | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | Apparel turnaround (Abercrombie) | +4.3% | +0.8% | +32.9% | +18.9% | 2026-06-11 |
| TGT | Discretionary-mix barometer | +0.3% | +0.8% | +10.7% | +72.9% | 2026-06-11 |
| BBY | Consumer electronics replacement cycle | +3.2% | +9.5% | +10.1% | +38.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| CVNA | Online used-car retail | +1.6% | +0.7% | +5.3% | -11.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| URBN | Apparel portfolio (Urban Outfitters) | +0.5% | -0.1% | +5.3% | +7.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| DG | Rural dollar-store consumer | +1.5% | +8.4% | +5.2% | +1.8% | 2026-06-11 |
| KR | Largest pure grocer | +0.1% | +1.5% | +4.0% | -4.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| FIVE | Teen value retail (Five Below) | +5.1% | +4.3% | +3.2% | +33.9% | 2026-06-11 |
| GPC | Auto-parts distribution (NAPA) | +1.1% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +15.5% | 2026-06-11 |
| TSCO | Rural lifestyle retail | +1.1% | +0.8% | +1.9% | -28.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| DLTR | Dollar-store turnaround case | +0.3% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +6.8% | 2026-06-11 |
| ULTA | Beauty category resilience | +1.3% | +9.0% | -0.2% | -6.8% | 2026-06-11 |
| COST | Membership model; trade-down beneficiary | -1.0% | -3.1% | -3.4% | +6.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| BJ | Warehouse club | +0.0% | +2.9% | -3.4% | +3.5% | 2026-06-11 |
| WMT | Scale + grocery share + ad/marketplace optionality | -1.2% | +3.9% | -4.0% | -3.2% | 2026-06-11 |
| AZO | Auto parts #2 | +0.5% | +0.7% | -4.6% | -12.0% | 2026-06-11 |
| SFM | Health-focused grocer (Sprouts) | +2.9% | -0.1% | -5.2% | +2.2% | 2026-06-11 |
| AMZN | E-commerce share of wallet | -0.1% | -3.0% | -5.8% | +12.0% | 2026-06-11 |
| ORLY | Auto parts: aging car parc annuity | +0.6% | -0.7% | -6.0% | -3.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| OLLI | Extreme-value closeouts (Ollie’s) | +3.9% | +5.7% | -6.2% | -30.1% | 2026-06-11 |
| EBAY | Marketplace e-commerce | -2.3% | -2.1% | -7.4% | +19.8% | 2026-06-11 |
| LOW | Same complex, more DIY-skewed | +1.3% | -1.7% | -8.5% | -13.9% | 2026-06-11 |
| HD | Home improvement / housing-linked spend | +0.9% | -2.1% | -9.1% | -4.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| CASY | Convenience stores — fuel plus prepared food | -0.3% | +0.1% | -9.3% | +37.1% | 2026-06-11 |
| ROST | Off-price #2 | -0.4% | +0.9% | -9.6% | +28.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| WSM | Home-furnishings retail | +2.1% | -3.3% | -9.7% | +28.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| TJX | Off-price wins in both trade-down and inventory gluts | -0.1% | -2.3% | -17.9% | -13.2% | 2026-06-11 |
| LULU | Premium athleisure discretionary | -17.4% | -16.7% | -21.8% | -51.6% | 2026-06-11 |
| DKS | Sporting goods (Dick’s) | -0.5% | +3.0% | -33.4% | -28.9% | 2026-06-11 |
How this basket is built
Equal-weighted, monthly-rebalanced, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes take effect same-day.
Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.
Read the methodology →Reading the returns
Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.
Cross-checked against XRT. Daily return correlation: 0.87 across 1678 sessions. equal-weighted across all-cap retail, mostly names below the index
Membership history & changes
- expand
FW 3000 pass: added DKS, BJ, OLLI, FIVE, SFM, ANF, URBN — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.
- expand
Widening pass: added grocery (KR), convenience (CASY), marketplaces (EBAY), auto e-commerce and parts distribution (CVNA, GPC), and furnishings (WSM). Reference pinned to XRT — equal-weighted like the basket. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).
- create
Initial composition: 16 names across formats.