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Consumer Thematic basket

Travel & Experiences

The experiences-over-goods consumer: booking platforms, hotels, cruise lines, airlines, casinos, dining out, and mobility. High-beta discretionary — the first thing cut in a real slowdown.

24 stocks · FW 3000 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-16 · close
1 day-1.4%basket return
20 days+0.2%basket return
20 days vs FW 3000+0.7%relative return
Year to date-3.7%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-9.4%-4.6%+0.1%+4.9%+9.6%2026-07-232026-10-16
Travel & ExperiencesFW 3000

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket-1.4%-0.6%+0.2%-6.2%+0.7%-3.7%+2.0%
vs FW 3000-0.3%+1.7%+0.7%-8.7%+0.8%-13.7%-10.3%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.21Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio0.31Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility24.9%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-16 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 24 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
CCLCarnival Corporation & plcCruise deleveraging story-2.1%-1.7%+18.6%-13.8%2026-06-11
MARMarriott International, Inc.Asset-light hotel fees+0.6%+6.1%+14.5%+25.8%2026-06-11
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.Cruise demand supercycle-0.8%-1.6%+13.0%+1.2%2026-06-11
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.Same model, same fee stream+0.6%+5.7%+12.9%+20.3%2026-06-11
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.Franchised hotels (Choice)+1.4%+2.6%+12.2%+15.1%2026-06-11
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Franchised hotels (Wyndham)+0.3%+2.1%+11.1%+1.8%2026-06-11
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.Ski resorts (Vail)-1.3%+3.4%+9.7%+19.3%2026-06-11
HHyatt Hotels CorporationHotels — fee-based shift (Hyatt)+0.1%+4.4%+9.1%+5.8%2026-06-11
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Cruise #3, highest leverage-2.2%-3.3%+6.6%-32.6%2026-06-11
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Alternative accommodation platform-0.3%+4.7%+4.5%+28.0%2026-06-11
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.Casual and fine dining — dining-out spend+1.0%+9.5%+4.2%+21.3%2026-06-11
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.OTA #2, value case-1.0%+5.4%+3.4%+2.6%2026-06-11
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.The mobility layer of the experiences economy-1.3%-1.6%-0.2%-13.9%2026-06-11
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.Global OTA cash machine-1.4%+1.9%-2.7%-23.2%2026-06-11
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.Caesars — left the S&P 500, still a top-3000 casino operator-1.5%-2.4%-2.8%+23.1%2026-06-11
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.Domestic leisure airline-3.3%-5.2%-3.6%-3.2%2026-06-11
BYDBoyd Gaming CorporationRegional casinos (Boyd)-1.3%+1.6%-4.0%-17.2%2026-06-11
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.Macau/Singapore gaming-0.8%+5.1%-4.9%-40.6%2026-06-11
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.Premium-cabin airline economics-3.5%-8.0%-5.1%+9.8%2026-06-11
WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedMacau/Vegas premium gaming-1.8%+0.6%-7.4%-36.7%2026-06-11
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.Long-haul international exposure-5.1%-10.6%-11.6%-14.1%2026-06-11
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.Alaska Air — left the S&P 500, still a top-3000 airline-3.7%-10.7%-13.3%-30.2%2026-06-11
MGMMGM Resorts InternationalVegas + digital betting-3.0%-2.3%-24.4%-21.6%2026-06-11
JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationLeisure airline (JetBlue)-7.0%-23.7%-33.0%-35.6%2026-06-11

Partial price histories: ABNB from 2020-12-10.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against PEJ. Daily return correlation: 0.91 across 1707 sessions. dynamic-screened leisure index, mid-cap inclusive

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added H, CHH, WH, CZR, BYD, MTN, ALK, JBLU — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: completed the S&P 500 airline and casino sets (LUV, WYNN) and added the dining-out and mobility legs (DRI, UBER). Reference pinned to PEJ. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • create

    Initial composition across platforms, lodging, cruise, air, gaming.

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