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Consumer Thematic basket

Travel & Experiences

The experiences-over-goods consumer: booking platforms, hotels, cruise lines, airlines, casinos, dining out, and mobility. High-beta discretionary — the first thing cut in a real slowdown.

24 stocks · FW 3000 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day-0.6%basket return
20 days+2.2%basket return
20 days vs FW 3000+1.7%relative return
Year to date-2.4%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-16.1%-10.3%-4.6%+1.2%+6.9%2026-07-282026-10-21
Travel & ExperiencesFW 3000

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket-0.6%+3.0%+2.2%-11.6%+2.0%-2.4%+3.6%
vs FW 3000-1.3%+2.3%+1.7%-14.9%+0.6%-13.8%-9.7%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.27Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio0.40Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility24.9%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 24 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.Cruise demand supercycle+0.2%+5.2%+25.2%+5.1%2026-06-11
CCLCarnival Corporation & plcCruise deleveraging story+0.9%+5.1%+25.2%-9.1%2026-06-11
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.Same model, same fee stream+0.8%+10.4%+17.9%+26.3%2026-06-11
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Alternative accommodation platform-1.8%+4.0%+16.1%+28.0%2026-06-11
MARMarriott International, Inc.Asset-light hotel fees+1.7%+8.7%+14.9%+31.0%2026-06-11
HHyatt Hotels CorporationHotels — fee-based shift (Hyatt)+1.4%+11.4%+13.6%+11.7%2026-06-11
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Franchised hotels (Wyndham)+1.3%+7.9%+13.1%+5.5%2026-06-11
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.Franchised hotels (Choice)+0.2%+9.9%+12.1%+20.7%2026-06-11
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.OTA #2, value case-5.0%+4.0%+10.3%+1.4%2026-06-11
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Cruise #3, highest leverage-0.4%+4.8%+9.9%-30.2%2026-06-11
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.Ski resorts (Vail)-2.9%-1.6%+6.6%+16.1%2026-06-11
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.Global OTA cash machine-3.4%-1.4%+1.6%-25.5%2026-06-11
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.Casual and fine dining — dining-out spend-1.6%+2.9%+1.2%+20.3%2026-06-11
BYDBoyd Gaming CorporationRegional casinos (Boyd)-1.4%+1.3%-1.6%-16.5%2026-06-11
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.Caesars — left the S&P 500, still a top-3000 casino operator-0.7%-1.4%-2.4%+23.6%2026-06-11
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.The mobility layer of the experiences economy-1.9%-2.4%-2.6%-17.2%2026-06-11
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.Domestic leisure airline+0.6%+1.4%-2.8%-2.2%2026-06-11
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.Macau/Singapore gaming-1.7%+1.3%-4.3%-41.4%2026-06-11
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.Premium-cabin airline economics+1.3%+1.6%-4.7%+13.1%2026-06-11
WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedMacau/Vegas premium gaming-2.2%+2.8%-7.0%-36.6%2026-06-11
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.Long-haul international exposure+4.0%+2.7%-8.2%-9.1%2026-06-11
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.Alaska Air — left the S&P 500, still a top-3000 airline-2.4%-6.1%-15.5%-33.3%2026-06-11
MGMMGM Resorts InternationalVegas + digital betting-0.1%-0.3%-23.7%-20.9%2026-06-11
JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationLeisure airline (JetBlue)+0.7%-2.7%-33.3%-35.6%2026-06-11

Partial price histories: ABNB from 2020-12-10.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against PEJ. Daily return correlation: 0.91 across 1710 sessions. dynamic-screened leisure index, mid-cap inclusive

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added H, CHH, WH, CZR, BYD, MTN, ALK, JBLU — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: completed the S&P 500 airline and casino sets (LUV, WYNN) and added the dining-out and mobility legs (DRI, UBER). Reference pinned to PEJ. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • create

    Initial composition across platforms, lodging, cruise, air, gaming.

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