Electricity is the binding constraint on the AI buildout and electrification. Unregulated generators with nuclear/gas fleets, grid equipment, electrical components, and the contractors who build it. The demand-growth story utilities haven't had in twenty years.
Follow the theme against the wider market.
Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.
| Return | 1 day | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days | MTD | YTD | 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basket | +1.9% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -7.5% | -1.7% | +4.5% | -7.4% |
| vs FW 3000 | +1.2% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -11.0% | -3.1% | -7.7% | -19.2% |
1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions
Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.
Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.
Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.
Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.
Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.
Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.
| Why it’s included | Added | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLNTalen Energy Corporation | Nuclear/gas IPP — data-center PPAs (Talen) | +2.9% | +0.3% | +19.7% | -4.1% | 2026-06-11 |
| VSTVistra Corp. | Unregulated generation leverage to power prices | +3.9% | +2.9% | +13.2% | -2.8% | 2026-06-11 |
| TTTrane Technologies | Data-center cooling (chillers/thermal management) | +2.2% | +0.0% | +7.9% | +22.0% | 2026-06-11 |
| EMREmerson Electric Co. | Automation + electrical portfolio | +1.6% | +1.3% | +5.5% | +24.3% | 2026-06-11 |
| JCIJohnson Controls | Datacenter cooling and building systems | +2.1% | -0.9% | +3.5% | +27.2% | 2026-06-11 |
| CMICummins Inc. | Backup generation engines | +1.1% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +7.3% | 2026-06-11 |
| CEGConstellation Energy Corporation | Largest nuclear fleet; datacenter PPAs | +4.6% | -3.1% | +2.6% | -23.0% | 2026-06-11 |
| GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | Backup power and home energy technology | +4.4% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +49.0% | 2026-06-11 |
| NEENextEra Energy, Inc. | Largest US renewables developer plus FPL rate base | -0.7% | -0.1% | +1.6% | -0.4% | 2026-06-11 |
| HUBBHubbell Incorporated | Grid components and utility T&D | +0.3% | -2.7% | -0.6% | +4.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| NRGNRG Energy, Inc. | Texas load growth + retail power | +2.0% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -36.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| GEVGE Vernova Inc. | Gas turbines and grid equipment backlog | +4.0% | -1.7% | -2.7% | +41.9% | 2026-06-11 |
| BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc. | Nuclear components and fuel | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.7% | -21.5% | 2026-06-11 |
| PWRQuanta Services, Inc. | The grid construction labor force | +0.9% | -9.0% | -5.3% | +42.5% | 2026-06-11 |
| AGXArgan, Inc. | Gas power-plant construction (Argan) | -1.1% | -5.5% | -7.6% | +10.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| ETNEaton Corporation | Electrical components across the buildout | +3.1% | -3.6% | -10.2% | +24.7% | 2026-06-11 |
| POWLPowell Industries, Inc. | Electrical switchgear (Powell) | +3.3% | +0.5% | -11.6% | +60.5% | 2026-06-11 |
| OKLOOklo Inc. | Small modular reactors | +0.9% | -4.5% | -28.6% | -61.4% | 2026-06-11 |
| SMRNuScale Power Corporation | SMR developer (NuScale) | -1.4% | -5.7% | -36.6% | -61.2% | 2026-06-11 |
Partial price histories: CEG from 2022-01-19, GEV from 2024-03-27, OKLO from 2024-05-03, SMR from 2020-12-09, TLN from 2023-06-02.
Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.
Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.
Read the methodology →Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.
Cross-checked against GRID. Daily return correlation: 0.81 across 1710 sessions. holds large non-US grid names (Schneider, ABB) and excludes the IPP generation leg
FW 3000 pass: added TLN, OKLO, SMR, BWXT, POWL, AGX — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.
Widening pass: added the thermal/cooling leg (TT), backup power (GNRC), and regulated renewables build-out (NEE). Reference pinned to GRID — partial overlap by construction. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).
Initial composition: generation, equipment, construction.