Integrated majors, shale producers, services, refiners, and midstream — the index's inflation hedge and the anti-duration trade. Watch it against defensives for the commodity-vs-growth rotation.
Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.
How these statistics are calculated
Risk methodology
Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.
Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.
Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.
Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.
Basket returns include dividends. “vs FW 3000” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.
Cross-checked against XLE. Daily return correlation: 0.96 across 1710 sessions. cap-weighted — XOM and CVX are roughly a third of the fund vs our equal weight
Membership history & changes
Membership history
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FW 3000 pass: added AR, RRC, MTDR, CHRD, PR, OVV, DTM, WES, LBRT, WHD, DINO — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.
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Widening pass: basket now spans the entire S&P 500 energy sector — all E&Ps including gas (EQT, EXE, APA, DVN, OXY), every refiner (added MPC), all midstream (added KMI, TRGP), services (added HAL, BKR), and royalties (TPL). Reference pinned to XLE. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).
Nuclear as the scarce clean-firm answer to AI power demand: hyperscaler PPAs and restarts repricing the operating fleet, SMR developers racing to first concrete, and a fuel cycle being onshored after decades of Russian dependence. Overlap with power-grid is deliberate — this basket isolates the nuclear-specific leg: merchant fleet operators, reactor OEMs, enrichment and uranium, and instrumentation.
Electricity is the binding constraint on the AI buildout and electrification. Unregulated generators with nuclear/gas fleets, grid equipment, electrical components, and the contractors who build it. The demand-growth story utilities haven't had in twenty years.
The upstream commodity complex: oil and gas producers, copper, gold and silver miners, steel and aluminum, lithium and rare earths, fertilizer and grain merchants, and timberland — the price-takers whose earnings are the commodity price. The inflation, dollar and China-demand trade expressed through equities; watch it against Defensives and the Magnificent Seven for the real-assets-vs-duration rotation. Overlap with the energy basket is deliberate — this one drops the refiners, pipes and services and adds the metals, agriculture and timber legs.