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Energy & Power Thematic basket

US Energy Complex

Integrated majors, shale producers, services, refiners, and midstream — the index's inflation hedge and the anti-duration trade. Watch it against defensives for the commodity-vs-growth rotation.

21 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+0.3%basket return
20 days+7.8%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500+7.0%relative return
Year to date+53.0%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-3.3%+2.1%+7.4%+12.7%+18.0%2026-07-282026-10-21
US Energy ComplexS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+0.3%+1.0%+7.8%+16.0%+10.8%+53.0%+60.3%
vs S&P 500-0.3%+0.5%+7.0%+10.9%+9.1%+34.5%+38.4%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio2.21Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio3.39Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility22.6%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 21 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
MPCMarathon PetroleumLargest US refiner — crack-spread torque-1.5%-3.5%+20.5%+191.1%2026-06-11
VLOValero EnergyRefining crack-spread leverage+0.8%-5.0%+16.2%+172.3%2026-06-11
COPConocoPhillipsLargest independent E&P-0.2%+2.3%+13.7%+59.1%2026-06-11
APAAPA CorporationOil E&P: Permian, Egypt, Suriname-0.5%+4.8%+13.6%+107.6%2026-06-11
PSXPhillips 66Refining + midstream mix-0.3%-2.4%+13.1%+129.5%2026-06-11
EOGEOG ResourcesLow-cost shale, returns discipline-0.0%+3.1%+12.1%+55.1%2026-06-11
XOMExxonMobilIntegrated scale + Permian + Guyana+0.1%+0.6%+10.4%+50.9%2026-06-11
CVXChevron CorporationIntegrated #2, capital discipline+0.5%+2.1%+10.3%+52.9%2026-06-11
OXYOccidental PetroleumPermian scale; carbon-capture option-0.4%+2.1%+9.3%+54.6%2026-06-11
KMIKinder MorganNatural-gas pipelines — volume annuity+1.2%+1.9%+8.3%+27.1%2026-06-11
FANGDiamondback EnergyPure-play Permian consolidation-0.7%+1.7%+8.2%+36.0%2026-06-11
EXEExpand EnergyBiggest gas E&P by volume (Chesapeake + Southwestern)+0.2%+1.9%+6.7%-14.4%2026-06-11
EQTEQT CorporationLargest US natural-gas producer — LNG demand leverage-1.4%+2.5%+5.9%+1.8%2026-06-11
TRGPTarga ResourcesPermian gathering and NGL exports+1.0%+1.6%+4.4%+62.6%2026-06-11
DVNDevon EnergyDelaware-basin oil E&P-1.0%-0.1%+3.8%+38.7%2026-06-11
HALHalliburtonNorth American pressure-pumping leader+1.2%+3.5%+3.0%+21.9%2026-06-11
OKEONEOKNGL midstream+0.3%+1.3%+2.9%+31.5%2026-06-11
TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationPermian royalties and water — asset-light oil torque+0.6%-2.9%+2.5%+20.4%2026-06-11
WMBWilliams CompaniesNatural gas pipes; power-demand kicker+3.5%+0.0%+2.4%+23.8%2026-06-11
SLBSchlumbergerGlobal services cycle+2.2%+5.3%-1.5%+35.3%2026-06-11
BKRBaker HughesServices plus LNG equipment backlog+0.6%+1.1%-3.5%+24.3%2026-06-11

Partial price histories: EXE from 2021-02-11.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against XLE. Daily return correlation: 0.98 across 1710 sessions. cap-weighted — XOM and CVX are roughly a third of the fund vs our equal weight

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added AR, RRC, MTDR, CHRD, PR, OVV, DTM, WES, LBRT, WHD, DINO — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: basket now spans the entire S&P 500 energy sector — all E&Ps including gas (EQT, EXE, APA, DVN, OXY), every refiner (added MPC), all midstream (added KMI, TRGP), services (added HAL, BKR), and royalties (TPL). Reference pinned to XLE. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • create

    Initial composition across the value chain.

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