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Reference Thematic basket

Magnificent Seven

The concentration reference: the seven megacaps that drive index-level returns. Equal-weighted here (deliberately, vs their cap weight in the index) so the basket measures the cohort, not just NVDA and MSFT. Divergence between this basket and the equal-weight index is the concentration trade in one line.

7 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+0.9%basket return
20 days+0.9%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500+0.2%relative return
Year to date+12.5%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-3.4%+2.4%+8.3%+14.2%+20.0%2026-07-282026-10-21
Magnificent SevenS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+0.9%-0.0%+0.9%+15.8%+1.7%+12.5%+15.9%
vs S&P 500+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%+10.7%+0.2%-1.1%+0.0%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.79Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio1.15Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility21.7%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 7 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
MSFTMicrosoftEnterprise + AI distribution+0.2%-0.1%+6.5%+10.9%2026-06-11
AMZNAmazonCommerce + AWS-0.1%+3.3%+5.3%+13.7%2026-06-11
AAPLApple Inc.Installed-base annuity+1.3%+0.3%+2.1%+26.9%2026-06-11
TSLATesla, Inc.The volatility leg of the cohort+3.4%+5.3%+1.7%-14.1%2026-06-11
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A)Search/ads + cloud + Gemini-1.6%-3.7%-0.9%+7.2%2026-06-11
NVDANvidiaAI compute monopoly economics+2.5%+0.3%-1.6%+19.3%2026-06-11
METAMeta PlatformsAttention + AI ad stack+0.5%-5.4%-6.3%+5.9%2026-06-11

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against MAGS. Daily return correlation: 0.99 across 886 sessions. near-exact analogue — the same seven names, equal-weighted

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • reference

    Widening pass: membership is complete by definition. Reference pinned to MAGS, an equal-weight Magnificent Seven ETF — the cleanest external check of any basket here.

  • create

    Standard seven, equal-weighted as a cohort monitor.

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