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AI & Technology Thematic basket

AI Infrastructure Leaders

The compute, networking, memory, storage, and power layer of the AI buildout. Owners of the bottlenecks: accelerators, custom silicon, switching, optics, HBM, fab equipment, test, and the server/power chain that turns capex into installed compute.

22 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+2.5%basket return
20 days-11.0%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500-11.6%relative return
Year to date+78.6%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-8.3%+0.0%+8.3%+16.6%+24.9%2026-07-282026-10-21
AI Infrastructure LeadersS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+2.5%-3.0%-11.0%+3.2%-10.8%+78.6%+88.6%
vs S&P 500+2.0%-3.5%-11.6%-1.4%-12.2%+57.0%+62.8%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio1.54Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio2.20Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility49.4%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 22 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
CIENCiena CorporationOptical networking systems+5.7%+0.5%+1.5%+54.5%2026-06-11
NVDANvidiaAccelerator monopoly economics; CUDA moat+2.5%+0.3%-1.6%+19.3%2026-06-11
QQnity Electronics, Inc.Advanced-node semiconductor materials (DuPont electronics spin-off)+1.5%-1.2%-3.5%+47.5%2026-06-11
AVGOBroadcomCustom AI ASICs (hyperscaler co-design) + networking+1.0%-2.4%-4.8%-1.9%2026-06-11
MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsPower management silicon for accelerators+2.8%+3.2%-5.2%+42.3%2026-06-11
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Custom AI silicon and electro-optics — re-enters untagged after joining the S&P 500+1.8%-0.2%-6.2%+188.5%2026-07-21
JBLJabilAI hardware manufacturing services+1.4%-4.4%-9.0%+23.3%2026-06-11
ANETArista NetworksAI cluster networking share gainer+1.7%-5.7%-9.4%+40.7%2026-06-11
AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesCredible #2 in merchant accelerators+3.4%-3.2%-10.1%+158.1%2026-06-11
ORCLOracle CorporationGPU cloud capacity buildout (OCI)-1.6%-1.1%-10.4%-32.9%2026-06-11
TERTeradyneSemiconductor test equipment+2.6%-3.9%-11.2%+78.7%2026-06-11
DELLDell TechnologiesAI server integration at scale+5.3%-4.2%-11.5%+290.2%2026-06-11
GLWCorning Inc.Optical fiber and interconnect+2.0%-4.2%-12.7%+54.9%2026-06-11
KLACKLA CorporationProcess control intensity rises with node complexity+1.0%-8.6%-13.0%+35.0%2026-06-11
AMATApplied MaterialsFab equipment breadth for leading-edge + memory+1.0%-8.4%-13.8%+59.7%2026-06-11
SMCISupermicroAI server/rack assembly+9.6%-0.6%-14.2%+21.5%2026-06-11
VRTVertiv Holdings CoDatacenter power and liquid cooling+4.2%-4.8%-14.7%+31.0%2026-06-11
MUMicron TechnologyHBM supply oligopoly member+2.0%-0.0%-14.7%+220.4%2026-06-11
LRCXLam ResearchEtch/deposition leverage to HBM and advanced packaging-1.0%-9.1%-15.1%+52.8%2026-06-11
WDCWestern DigitalData-center hard-drive exabytes+3.9%+4.0%-20.1%+119.9%2026-06-11
COHRCoherent, Inc.Optical transceivers for AI networking+2.5%-9.8%-21.0%+28.7%2026-06-11
STXSeagate TechnologyData-center storage+3.2%-2.3%-24.5%+153.9%2026-06-11

Partial price histories: Q from 2025-10-27.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-06-11. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against SMH. Daily return correlation: 0.95 across 1710 sessions. semiconductor-only proxy; the basket’s networking, storage, and power names sit outside it

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • expand

    MRVL joined the S&P 500 and moves from broad-only to both universes (reverse of the ZION/MOH/MHK pattern): broad entry closed, untagged entry added same-day. The S&P version gains a member; the FW 3000 version is unchanged.

  • correction

    FN and CRDO removed — never FW 3000 constituents (offshore-domiciled, screened out of the universe), so the 2026-06-12 broad pass added them in error; the pipeline has flagged both as missing/ex-universe since. Entries deleted outright rather than closed with a removed date: neither ever had tape, so no computed history is restated. Optics coverage continues via COHR, CIEN, GLW, MTSI and the new optics-memory basket.

  • expand

    FW 3000 pass: added MRVL, CRWV, ALAB, CRDO, MOD, ONTO, MTSI, FN — names outside the S&P 500 but inside our broad universe; they count only in the FW 3000 version of this basket. Effective-dated to creation so the broad backtest covers the full set. The S&P 500 basket is unchanged.

  • expand

    Widening pass: added the optics/networking leg (COHR, CIEN, GLW), storage (WDC, STX), test and materials (TER, Q), power silicon (MPWR), and server manufacturing (SMCI, JBL). Reference pinned to SMH — semis-only, so expect high but not perfect tracking. New members are effective-dated to basket creation so the backtest and the reference correlation cover the widened set (the basket was one day old, with no meaningful live history to restate).

  • correction

    MRVL removed: not an S&P 500 constituent (basket rule violation at creation); custom-silicon exposure remains via AVGO.

  • create

    Initial composition: 12 names across compute, networking, memory, equipment, power.

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