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Energy & Power Thematic basket

Nuclear Renaissance

Nuclear as the scarce clean-firm answer to AI power demand: hyperscaler PPAs and restarts repricing the operating fleet, SMR developers racing to first concrete, and a fuel cycle being onshored after decades of Russian dependence. Overlap with power-grid is deliberate — this basket isolates the nuclear-specific leg: merchant fleet operators, reactor OEMs, enrichment and uranium, and instrumentation.

4 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+3.1%basket return
20 days+4.7%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500+3.9%relative return
Year to date+2.2%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-6.7%-3.1%+0.4%+3.9%+7.5%2026-07-282026-10-21
Nuclear RenaissanceS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+3.1%-0.3%+4.7%-0.2%+5.6%+2.2%-1.9%
vs S&P 500+2.6%-0.8%+3.9%-4.7%+4.0%-10.2%-15.3%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio0.11Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio0.15Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility33.3%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 4 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
VSTVistra Corp.Second-largest competitive fleet (Energy Harbor deal) levered to data-center PPAs+3.9%+2.9%+13.2%-2.8%2026-07-21
PEGPublic Service Enterprise GroupThe regulated exception: PSEG's merchant generation is essentially the Salem/Hope Creek nuclear fleet+0.2%+0.6%+5.5%-9.3%2026-07-21
CEGConstellation EnergyLargest US fleet; the Microsoft Crane restart PPA is the sector's repricing event+4.6%-3.1%+2.6%-23.0%2026-07-21
GEVGE VernovaBWRX-300 SMR order book via GE Hitachi on top of the grid-equipment franchise+4.0%-1.7%-2.7%+41.9%2026-07-21

Partial price histories: CEG from 2022-01-19, GEV from 2024-03-27.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-07-21. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against NLR. Daily return correlation: 0.62 across 1185 sessions. operators, OEMs and fuel in one fund; includes foreign listings (Cameco, Kepco) outside our US-only universes

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • create

    Initial composition: 13 names — merchant fleets (CEG, VST, TLN, plus PEG as the nuclear-concentrated regulated exception), OEM and developers (GEV, BWXT, OKLO, SMR, NNE), fuel cycle (LEU, UEC, UUUU) and instrumentation (MIR). Reference pinned to NLR. Considered and excluded: CCJ and the foreign fuel majors (non-US-domiciled, outside the FW 3000), the private developers everyone actually watches (X-energy, TerraPower, Kairos, Westinghouse), regulated utilities with fleets buried in rate base (D, DUK, SO, ETR — no merchant leverage to nuclear scarcity), and pre-revenue fuel tech (LTBR, ASPI — NNE already carries the speculative leg).

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