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Financials Thematic basket

Crypto Financialization

Crypto as listed equity beta: exchanges and brokers monetizing volume, stablecoin float income under the GENIUS Act framework, corporate token treasuries, and miners whose power portfolios double as AI-datacenter optionality. The sector's cash flows are increasingly regulated and real, but the basket still trades as high-beta bitcoin in equity wrappers — which is the point: it is the cleanest read on speculative appetite in the tape.

4 stocks · S&P 500 universeEqual-weighted · monthly rebalance2026-10-21 · close
1 day+1.8%basket return
20 days-4.0%basket return
20 days vs S&P 500-4.7%relative return
Year to date+0.6%basket return

Performance

Follow the theme against the wider market.

Period
-7.6%-2.1%+3.3%+8.8%+14.2%2026-07-282026-10-21
Crypto FinancializationS&P 500

Series before each basket's creation date are a backtest of the membership as of creation; live tracking starts at creation.

Return1 day5 days20 days60 daysMTDYTD1 year
Basket+1.8%+2.1%-4.0%+3.5%+0.2%+0.6%-20.1%
vs S&P 500+1.2%+1.6%-4.7%-1.1%-1.3%-11.5%-31.0%

Risk statistics

Period · 1y

1y · 2025-10-21 – 2026-10-21 · 252 / 252 sessions

Sharpe ratio-0.26Annualized · 0% risk-free rate
Sortino ratio-0.36Annualized · 0% downside target
Historical volatility46.1%Annualized · daily log returns

Basket total returns · Annualized using 252 trading sessions · 0% risk-free rate and downside target. As of 2026-10-21 · close.

How these statistics are calculated

Risk methodology

Sharpe: average daily simple return divided by its sample standard deviation, multiplied by √252. The risk-free rate is assumed to be 0%; this is not a cash-adjusted ratio.

Sortino: average daily simple return divided by downside deviation, multiplied by √252. Downside deviation is the square root of the average squared shortfall below 0%, counting all sessions, including zeros for gains.

Historical volatility: √(252 × average squared daily log return), matching the Vol page’s realized-volatility convention. This differs from the sample standard deviation used in Sharpe.

Each period requires complete history and at least 5 sessions. MTD and YTD follow the calendar; 1y is 252 sessions. Missing data or an undefined ratio displays — with a reason. Short periods can produce unstable ratios; intraday snapshots include a partial session. History before this basket’s creation is backtested. If a new basket has no stored daily return series yet, estimates from its rounded published chart levels are marked ≈.

Full basket risk methodology →

Inside the basket · 4 stocks

Current members and the reasoning behind each inclusion. Returns are for individual holdings.

Why it’s includedAdded
PYPLPayPalPYUSD stablecoin and crypto on/off-ramps across a two-sided network — the diluted leg+0.1%+2.0%+8.9%-1.2%2026-07-21
XYZBlock, Inc.Corporate bitcoin holder plus Cash App bitcoin rails and Proto mining hardware (Block)+0.1%+3.1%+4.7%+20.2%2026-07-21
COINCoinbase GlobalThe regulated exchange: spot, derivatives, USDC economics and custody for the ETF complex+3.6%+2.4%-10.6%-21.7%2026-07-21
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.Retail flow aggregator — crypto is the margin driver, plus tokenization and prediction-market optionality+3.8%+0.8%-16.9%-9.9%2026-07-21

Partial price histories: COIN from 2021-04-14, HOOD from 2021-07-29.

How this basket is built

Equal-weighted; monthly rebalance, buy-and-hold between rebalances; dated membership changes reset the target weights.

Tracked since 2026-07-21. Membership decisions are documented below.

Read the methodology →

Reading the returns

Basket returns include dividends. “vs S&P 500” compares the basket’s compounded growth with the benchmark’s. Green means positive; red means negative.

Cross-checked against BITQ. Daily return correlation: 0.78 across 1367 sessions. the pure-play crypto-equity index; holds many of the same names plus foreign-listed miners (IREN, BTDR) outside our US-only universes

Membership history & changes

Membership history

  • create

    Initial composition: 16 names — exchanges/brokers (COIN, HOOD), diluted S&P payment rails with real crypto books (XYZ, PYPL), stablecoins (CRCL), merchant banking (GLXY, GEMI), token treasuries (MSTR, BMNR), and the miner complex with its AI-conversion optionality (MARA, RIOT, CLSK, CORZ, CIFR, WULF, HUT). Reference pinned to BITQ. Considered and excluded: IREN, BTDR and BLSH (foreign-domiciled, outside the FW 3000), APLD (now an AI-datacenter landlord, no longer a crypto business), SBET and BTBT (sub-scale ether treasuries — BMNR carries that leg), CME (crypto futures are a small slice of a rates/equities franchise; it stays in capital-markets), and BLK/BK (ETF issuance and custody economics too diluted to read).

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